
GENEVA — United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has delivered an urgent global warning, declaring that a “supersized” El Niño climate phenomenon is actively steering the planet into an uncharted and perilous “danger zone” of extreme weather.
The alert follows a definitive bulletin released by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which estimates a near-100 percent probability that the powerful climate driver will persist through February, sending compounding shockwaves well into 2027.
”El Niño is being supersized before our eyes. The science leaves no room for doubt: the planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up,” Guterres said in a stark address. “Sea surface temperatures are rising, temperatures keep climbing, and the world is in the danger zone of extreme weather.”
Exceptional Ocean Heat
According to meteorological data, the central and eastern equatorial Pacific has experienced unprecedented temperature anomalies. The critical Niño 3.4 index, which tracks sea surface warmth, spiked significantly above average during the summer months, with weekly readings ranging from 2.2°C to 2.6°C above normal. Even more alarming is the subsurface data, where temperatures have registered more than 8°C above average in localized pockets.
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo noted that the organization’s models point to the event reaching a “very strong” intensity tier before peaking toward the end of the year. While El Niño is a naturally occurring cyclical pattern defined by the warming of Pacific surface waters, scientists emphasize that its impacts are being turbo-charged by background global heating driven by fossil fuel emissions.
Cascading Global Crises
The collision between natural climate oscillations and long-term global warming threatens widespread economic and social disruption. Authorities warn that the intensified cycle will drastically alter global rainfall and temperature distributions, laying the groundwork for severe droughts, agricultural setbacks, intense heatwaves, and catastrophic flooding across multiple continents.
International agencies, including the World Food Programme, have voiced grave concerns that the event could exacerbate global food insecurity, placing tens of millions of vulnerable people at risk of acute hunger as staple crop yields face severe pressure.
In response to the WMO bulletin, disaster management agencies, alongside the agriculture, energy, and public health sectors worldwide, have been urged to fast-track early-warning systems and climate-resilience measures.
”The race now is between rising risks and our commitment to take climate action and protect people,” Guterres added. “We must win that race.”
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