Tinubu Approves National Threat Assessment, Five-Year Defence Plan Amid Rising Security Concerns

ABUJA — President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has approved the immediate preparation of a comprehensive National Threat Assessment alongside a rolling five-year Strategic Defence Operations Plan, a move designed to strengthen coordination across Nigeria’s defence, intelligence and security architecture.

The directive, disclosed by the Presidency this week, positions the President as the driving force behind a fresh attempt to harmonise Nigeria’s fragmented security response, one that has for years struggled with duplicated mandates between the military, the police and intelligence services.

A Familiar Problem, A New Framework

Findings show that Nigeria’s security challenges, ranging from banditry in the North-West to kidnapping syndicates in the South-East, have repeatedly exposed gaps in inter-agency intelligence sharing.

The new assessment is expected to serve as a baseline document from which the five-year plan will draw its priorities, an approach security analysts have long recommended but which previous administrations were slow to institutionalise.

ValidViewNetwork gathered that the plan will task the Ministry of Defence, the Office of the National Security Adviser and allied agencies with producing a unified threat matrix, rather than the current practice of each arm assessing risk independently.

Institutional Response

ADVERTISEMENT

The Presidency, in its statement, framed the move as consistent with Tinubu’s stated commitment to “results-driven governance,” a phrase the administration has used repeatedly since the President’s ₦58.18 trillion 2026 budget presentation.

Checks by ValidViewNetwork confirm that implementation timelines have not yet been made public, and stakeholders in the security sector are expected to await further guidance from the Office of the National Security Adviser in the coming weeks.