Governor Yemi Cardoso of the Central Bank of Nigeria shared insights into his approach to shaping Nigeria’s monetary policy, addressing FX issues, and tackling inflation during an interview at the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington DC, held between April 11 and 20, 2024.
Cardoso highlighted the challenges inherited, including high inflation and a stressed exchange rate, emphasizing the critical need to rebuild trust amid a crisis of confidence. He underscored the importance of clear communication and decisive actions to initiate reforms and restore confidence.
This involved commitments to resolve outstanding FX transactions and engage with international investors early in his tenure.
The sequencing of reforms focused on transitioning from interventionist policies to orthodox monetary measures, such as liquidity management and interest rate adjustments.
Cardoso emphasized the importance of communication in managing public expectations and behavior, acknowledging the time required for policy impacts to materialize.
Regarding fiscal coordination, Cardoso emphasized the necessity of collaboration with the Ministry of Finance to align monetary and fiscal policies effectively.
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He highlighted ongoing efforts to address fiscal deficits and support agricultural initiatives to mitigate food inflation.
Reflecting on his first six months, Cardoso emphasized the critical role of trust in policy implementation. He noted the challenge of managing public expectations and the importance of consistency in policy actions to build credibility.
Regarding currency risk, Cardoso acknowledged the need to develop currency risk markets to address inflationary pressures effectively, highlighting ongoing considerations in this area.
Responding to queries about defending the naira, Cardoso clarified that the central bank’s objective is not to defend the currency but to promote market-led price discovery.
He emphasized the shift towards a more market-oriented approach, minimizing intervention except in exceptional circumstances, and addressing reserves fluctuations as routine debt servicing and transactional necessities.
Overall, Cardoso outlined a strategic vision centered on transparency, communication, and market-driven reforms to navigate Nigeria’s economic challenges and restore macroeconomic stability.
